The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia
WEBThe Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
The 13 Keys to the White House | American University ...
WEBMay 4, 2016 · They developed the keys based on their analysis of trends in presidential campaigns since 1860. The 13 keys are simple to use: if 8 or more of the 13 keys are true for the incumbent party, its candidate will win the election—but if fewer than 8 are true, the challenger will win.
The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting ...
WEBFeb 15, 2008 · In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.
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- Author: Allan Lichtman
Keys to the White House | US Election History & Process
WEBThe Keys to the White House are a historically based prediction system that retrospectively has accounted for the popular-vote winners of every U.S. presidential election from 1860 to 1980 and prospectively has forecast the popular-vote winners of the presidential elections thereafter.
WEBThe Keys to the White House: The Outlook for 2024 Allan J. Lichtman Since 1996, I have apprised readers of Social Education of my predicted presidential elec-tion results based on the Keys to the White House. The Keys are a historical-based index system for predicting the results of American presidential
13 Keys - Lichtman2020
WEBBased on the 1981 book 'Keys to the White House' by Allan Lichtman, we use 13 indicators to forecast the presidential race in 2020.
The keys to the White House, 1996 : a surefire guide to ...
WEBNov 28, 2019 · In The Keys to the White House, 1996, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman applies the revolutionary system with which he has analyzed every presidential election since 1860 to this year's landmark contest.
The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting ...
WEBOverview. With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential ...
The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting ...
WEBThe Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President. Allan J. Lichtman. Lexington Books, 2005 - Political Science - 198 pages. "In this book, [the author] presents...
The “13 Keys to the White House”: A Conversation With Allan ...
WEBJul 25, 2024 · Voices of Reason spoke with Lichtman about his background, how the system came about, why the ascension of Vice President Kamala Harris salvaged one of the keys for Democrats, and discussed prediction modeling and polls.